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Buying Russian oil, anger over not giving Pakistan ceasefire credit or refusing to accept trade demands: What does Trump want from Modi?

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      Here’s what President Trump appears to be pressing Prime Minister Modi for—across three flashpoints: 🔥 1. Pressure to stop buying Russian oil or face punitive tariffs Trump has explicitly demanded that India cease its imports of discounted Russian crude, which now constitutes about one‑third of Indi‫اقرأ المزيد

      Here’s what President Trump appears to be pressing Prime Minister Modi for—across three flashpoints:

      🔥 1. Pressure to stop buying Russian oil or face punitive tariffs

      Trump has explicitly demanded that India cease its imports of discounted Russian crude, which now constitutes about one‑third of India’s oil supply. He has threatened a 25% tariff on Indian goods, along with unspecified further penalties if India continues this trade. He accuses India of indirectly supporting Russia’s war in Ukraine and of profiting from reselling Russian oil, claiming this undermines Western sanctions (The Guardian, Financial Times).

      India has rejected the pressure, pointing out what it calls hypocrisy from the U.S. and EU, which also continue Russian energy imports, and stressing its energy choices reflect strategic autonomy and necessity for economic stability (India Today).

      🤝 2. Recognition for purported role in the India–Pakistan ceasefire

      Trump has repeatedly claimed he brokered or influenced the May 2025 ceasefire between India and Pakistan through trade diplomacy—saying, “I stopped the war … I said trade or not” (The Indian Express).

      However, Prime Minister Modi firmly denies any such mediation. According to New Delhi, no talks on trade or third‑party mediation took place during the conflict. Modi stressed that any ceasefire emerged from direct military communication between India and Pakistan and not U.S. involvement (South China Morning Post).

      📦 3. Trade concessions from India in exchange for resolution or recognition

      Trump appears to be linking broader India–U.S. trade negotiations with the India–Pakistan conflict. Analysts suggest he’s attempting to extract symbolic or substantive concessions from India—such as market access for U.S. agricultural and pharmaceutical goods—by leveraging his claims of ceasefire mediation as political capital (The Wall Street Journal).

      He also signals support for Pakistani energy and trade deals, raising concerns in India over a potential U.S. tilt toward Islamabad (AP News, Wikipedia, washingtonpost.com).

      🧭 Bottom line: What Trump wants from Modi

      Issue Trump’s Position Objective
      Russian oil imports Stop or face tariffs To penalize India’s energy ties with Russia and enforce sanctions
      India–Pakistan ceasefire Acknowledgement of U.S. mediation credit To cement diplomatic credentials and leverage trade talks
      Trade deal concessions Offers of public recognition and goodwill To secure greater U.S. access to Indian markets (e.g. agriculture, pharma)

      ⚠️ Implications for India

      • Modi is resisting both U.S. coercion on Russian energy and the notion that trade was ever linked to conflict resolution.
      • India is balancing political optics: preserving strategic autonomy and domestic credibility while managing growing trade and diplomatic friction with the U.S.
      • This dispute has strained long-standing ties, potentially reshaping Indo‑U.S. alignment, especially given Trump’s overtures to Pakistan (AP News, India Today, Wikipedia, Wikipedia, Dawn, South China Morning Post, Financial Times).

      Let me know if you’d like deeper insight into how Modi’s administration is responding or how these developments might affect regional strategic dynamics.

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      Kugelman believes Trump's anger stems from Modi's refusal to give credit for the recent ceasefire between India and Pakistan and his strong stance during a tense phone call.

      Kugelman believes Trump's anger stems from Modi's refusal to give credit for the recent ceasefire between India and Pakistan and his strong stance during a tense phone call.
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
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