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Has any country succeeded in eliminating its dependence on the dollar?

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      While no country has completely eliminated its dependence on the US dollar, several nations are actively pursuing strategies to reduce their reliance on it, often referred to as "de-dollarization" efforts. These efforts are driven by various factors, including geopolitical tensions, the desire for g‫اقرأ المزيد

      While no country has completely eliminated its dependence on the US dollar, several nations are actively pursuing strategies to reduce their reliance on it, often referred to as “de-dollarization” efforts. These efforts are driven by various factors, including geopolitical tensions, the desire for greater economic sovereignty, and a response to the “weaponization” of the dollar through sanctions.

      Here’s a breakdown of what’s happening:

      Countries at the Forefront of De-dollarization:

      • Russia: Following extensive US sanctions, Russia has been a key driver of de-dollarization. It has significantly reduced its dollar-denominated reserves, increasing holdings in euros, yuan, and gold. Russia has also pushed for trade settlements in local currencies (ruble, yuan) with partners, particularly for energy exports.
      • China: As the world’s second-largest economy and a major trading nation, China has been steadily working to internationalize its currency, the renminbi (yuan). It has:
        • Established global clearing centers for yuan transactions.
        • Signed numerous currency swap agreements with other countries.
        • Promoted the use of the yuan in bilateral trade, especially for commodity imports like oil.
        • Developed its Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) as an alternative to SWIFT.
        • Is actively developing and promoting its digital yuan (e-CNY) for cross-border transactions.
      • BRICS Nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and new members): This bloc is a major force in the de-dollarization trend. They are exploring various initiatives to facilitate trade and financial transactions in their local currencies, and some discussions have even touched upon a potential common currency for the bloc (though this faces significant challenges). Examples include:
        • Brazil and China agreeing to conduct bilateral trade in their own currencies.
        • India and Malaysia agreeing to use the Indian rupee for trade settlements.
        • Discussions around a “BRICS Pay” platform for streamlined transactions.
      • Other Countries and Regions:
        • Iran: Having faced decades of US sanctions, Iran is an “expert” in de-dollarization, actively seeking alternative financial arrangements and promoting the use of non-dollar currencies in trade.
        • Saudi Arabia: While historically a staunch supporter of the petrodollar system, Saudi Arabia has shown openness to settling some oil trade in yuan, particularly with China, though progress has been slow.
        • ASEAN nations: Several Southeast Asian countries are actively discussing and implementing strategies to increase the use of local currencies for trade and financial transactions within the region, aiming to reduce reliance on major external currencies like the dollar, euro, and yen.
        • Latin American countries (e.g., Argentina, Bolivia, Peru, Uruguay): Some of these countries, especially those facing dollar shortages or high domestic dollarization, are exploring using the yuan or other alternatives for imports and trade.

      Why the Shift?

      • Sanctions Evasion: Countries like Russia and Iran use de-dollarization to mitigate the impact of US financial sanctions, which leverage the dollar’s global dominance.
      • Diversification of Reserves: Central banks are diversifying their foreign exchange reserves to include a mix of currencies (euro, yuan) and gold, aiming to reduce risks associated with holding large amounts of US dollars.
      • Economic Sovereignty: Nations seek greater control over their financial systems and less exposure to the monetary policies of the US Federal Reserve.
      • Geopolitical Alignment: De-dollarization can also be a geopolitical statement, signaling a shift in alliances or a challenge to the existing unipolar financial order.
      • Efficiency: For some bilateral trade flows, using local currencies can reduce exchange rate volatility and transaction costs.

      Current State and Challenges:

      Despite these efforts, the US dollar remains overwhelmingly dominant in global trade, finance, and as a reserve currency.

      • The dollar is still involved in a vast majority of global trade and foreign exchange transactions.
      • US financial markets remain the deepest and most liquid, making dollar-denominated assets highly attractive.
      • The Chinese yuan, while growing in usage, faces limitations due to capital controls and a lack of full convertibility.
      • Creating credible alternatives to the dollar, especially as a stable reserve currency, is a monumental task that requires deep, liquid financial markets, political stability, and widespread trust.

      In conclusion, while no country has completely eliminated its dependence on the dollar, there is a clear and accelerating trend among several nations to reduce this reliance. This “de-dollarization” is a complex, long-term process with significant implications for the global financial landscape, but the dollar’s entrenched position means any dramatic shift will take considerable time.

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