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Ali1234الباحث
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    The concept of a "winner" in a brief, intense conflict like the 12-day war between Israel, the US, and Iran is complex, as all parties tend to claim victory for different reasons, and the long-term consequences are still unfolding. However, we can analyze the stated gains and losses for each: Israel‫اقرأ المزيد

    The concept of a “winner” in a brief, intense conflict like the 12-day war between Israel, the US, and Iran is complex, as all parties tend to claim victory for different reasons, and the long-term consequences are still unfolding. However, we can analyze the stated gains and losses for each:
    Israel’s Perspective:
    * Key Gain: The primary stated objective for Israel was to set back Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs. Reports suggest significant damage to Iranian nuclear facilities and ballistic missile capabilities, with Israel claiming to have destroyed a large percentage of Iran’s long-range missile stock and achieved air superiority. The US directly joining the war and attacking Iran was also a long-standing goal for Israel.
    * Shift in Focus: The conflict may have temporarily shifted international attention away from Israel’s ongoing actions in the Gaza Strip.
    * Military Performance: Israel showcased its advanced air defense systems (Iron Dome, Arrow 2/3, David’s Sling), which reportedly intercepted a high percentage of incoming missiles, and demonstrated its air force’s ability to conduct extensive strikes deep into enemy territory without losing aircraft or pilots.
    * Losses/Challenges: While damage to Israeli infrastructure was limited due to its defense systems, some missiles did strike targets like an oil refinery and electrical facilities. The long-term impact on regional stability and the potential for future retaliation remains a concern.
    US’s Perspective:
    * Intervention and De-escalation: The US intervened by striking Iranian nuclear sites, aiming to curb Iran’s nuclear ambitions. President Trump then played a role in brokering the ceasefire, positioning the US as a “peacemaker.”
    * Show of Force: The US demonstrated its willingness to directly engage in the conflict to support its allies and address perceived threats from Iran.
    * Potential Gains for Iran: Ironically, the US attack on Al Udeid air base (following an early warning from Tehran that prevented US casualties) allowed Iran to showcase its military strength without suffering significant losses to its personnel.
    * Future Challenges: The conflict highlighted the fragility of regional peace and the potential for wider escalation. The US now faces the challenge of potentially bringing the US-Iran nuclear deal back to the table.
    Iran’s Perspective:
    * Retaliation and Show of Strength: Despite suffering damage to its nuclear sites and the assassination of nuclear scientists, Iran claims victory in punishing the “Zionist regime” by launching missile attacks against Israeli territory. It demonstrated its capability to strike back against powerful military forces.
    * Survival: Iran can claim it survived direct attacks from two major military powers and managed to retaliate, indicating its resilience.
    * Losses: The war inflicted significant damage on Iran’s nuclear program and military infrastructure, including ballistic missile factories and storage facilities. The assassination of a top military commander also represents a significant loss.
    * Long-term Implications: Iran’s nuclear program has been set back, and it may face increased international pressure regarding its nuclear activities and regional proxies.
    Overall Assessment:
    While all sides have claimed victory, the reality is more nuanced.
    * Israel arguably achieved significant military objectives in degrading Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities and securing direct US involvement.
    * The US demonstrated its resolve and then successfully brokered a ceasefire, but the underlying tensions in the region remain.
    * Iran sustained damage but also showed its capacity for retaliation and its determination to resist.
    The ceasefire is widely considered fragile. The conflict has heightened instability in the Middle East, disrupted trade routes (like the Strait of Hormuz), and impacted global oil prices, highlighting the interconnectedness of regional conflicts and global stability. The long-term winner will depend on how the geopolitical landscape evolves, particularly regarding nuclear negotiations and regional power dynamics.

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Ali1234الباحث
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    Recently, amid escalating hostilities between Israel and Iran, it has been reported that President Donald Trump asked Qatar for help in persuading Iran to cease hostilities. Qatar's Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani is said to have played a key mediating role, securing Iran's a‫اقرأ المزيد

    Recently, amid escalating hostilities between Israel and Iran, it has been reported that President Donald Trump asked Qatar for help in persuading Iran to cease hostilities.
    Qatar’s Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani is said to have played a key mediating role, securing Iran’s approval for a ceasefire with Israel after a direct request from Trump to Qatar’s Emir.

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Ali1234الباحث
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    The US military base targeted by Iran's missile attack in Qatar, Al Udeid Air Base, holds significant strategic importance for several reasons: * Largest US military base in the Middle East: Al Udeid is the largest US military installation in the Middle East, housing approximately 8,000-10,000 US mi‫اقرأ المزيد

    The US military base targeted by Iran’s missile attack in Qatar, Al Udeid Air Base, holds significant strategic importance for several reasons:
    * Largest US military base in the Middle East: Al Udeid is the largest US military installation in the Middle East, housing approximately 8,000-10,000 US military personnel, as well as forces from the UK, Australia, and other allied countries.
    * Forward Headquarters for US Central Command (CENTCOM): It serves as the forward headquarters for US Central Command, which directs US military operations across a vast area stretching from Egypt to Kazakhstan, encompassing the Middle East and parts of Asia.
    * Command and Control Hub for Air Operations: The base hosts the Combined Air Operations Center (CAOC), a crucial command and control hub for coordinating air power operations across the US Central Command Area of Responsibility, including air campaigns in Iraq, Syria, and Afghanistan.
    * Logistics and Air Mobility Hub: Al Udeid is a vital logistics base for US military operations in the region and features the longest runway in the Persian Gulf, enabling the rapid and efficient transfer of equipment and personnel. It accommodates a range of military aircraft, including refueling planes, large cargo aircraft, and surveillance aircraft.
    * Key in Deterring Iran and Counterterrorism: The base plays a crucial role in US efforts to deter Iran, counter extremist groups like ISIS and al-Qaeda, and support allies in the region. It serves as a launching pad for airstrikes and reconnaissance missions.
    * Long-standing Partnership with Qatar: Qatar has a strong defense cooperation agreement with the US and has invested significantly (over $8 billion) in developing and improving Al Udeid Air Base for US use. The agreement for US military presence was recently extended for another 10 years, underscoring its continued importance.
    The targeting of Al Udeid by Iran marks a significant escalation in regional tensions, as it directly targeted a central hub of American military command and operations in the Middle East. While there were no reported casualties and the base was reportedly evacuated in advance, the attack highlights the vulnerability of US assets in the region and the potential for wider conflict.

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    Recent reports have surfaced regarding a female Mossad agent known as Katherine Perez Sheked, sometimes referred to as the "Lady Killer" in Iran. Iranian intelligence reportedly believes she was a key source of information for Israel regarding top Iranian military leadership. According to these repo‫اقرأ المزيد

    Recent reports have surfaced regarding a female Mossad agent known as Katherine Perez Sheked, sometimes referred to as the “Lady Killer” in Iran. Iranian intelligence reportedly believes she was a key source of information for Israel regarding top Iranian military leadership.

    According to these reports, Katherine Perez Sheked is a French national who was trained by Mossad. She allegedly came to Iran, expressed interest in Shia Islam, and converted. This allowed her to move among the wives of senior Iranian officers, gain their trust, and gather intelligence.

    It’s important to note that Iranian agencies have not captured her. The reports suggest she has been instrumental in providing pinpoint information that Israel has allegedly used in aerial strikes.

    There is also a separate, earlier case of Catherine Perez-Shakdam, a French citizen of Jewish heritage who converted to Islam and worked as a journalist for Iranian state media. She later reconnected with her Jewish identity and became an atheist, denying any claims of being a Mossad spy. As of March 2022, she resided in London. While her story involves conversion to Islam and involvement with Iranian media, she has publicly stated she was not a Mossad agent.

    Given the current information, the female agent who converted to Islam and is believed to be spying for Mossad in Iran, Katherine Perez Sheked, is reported to be still at large and actively operating, according to Iranian intelligence.

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Ali1234الباحث
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    While Israel has expressed its intent to disrupt Iran's nuclear program, the complete destruction of Iran's most heavily fortified underground nuclear facilities, particularly the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, is widely believed to be beyond Israel's current independent capabilities. Here's why: * F‫اقرأ المزيد

    While Israel has expressed its intent to disrupt Iran’s nuclear program, the complete destruction of Iran’s most heavily fortified underground nuclear facilities, particularly the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, is widely believed to be beyond Israel’s current independent capabilities.
    Here’s why:
    * Fordow’s Depth and Hardening: The Fordow facility is buried deep within a mountain, reportedly 80-90 meters (260-300 feet) underground, and is heavily reinforced. This makes it extremely difficult to penetrate with conventional weaponry.
    * “Bunker Buster” Limitations: While Israel possesses some “bunker buster” bombs (like the GBU-28 and BLU-109), these have a shallower penetration range and are not considered powerful enough to reach Fordow’s deepest sections.
    * US-Exclusive Capability: The only weapon widely believed to be capable of destroying Fordow is the GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP), a 30,000-pound (13,600kg) precision-guided bomb. The United States is the only country that possesses the GBU-57, and it can only be delivered by a US B-2 stealth bomber.
    * Need for Multiple Strikes: Even with the MOP, experts suggest that multiple sequential strikes would likely be needed to achieve full destruction of such a deeply buried and hardened facility.
    What Israel can and has targeted:
    Israel has reportedly focused its strikes on other Iranian nuclear and military sites, including:
    * Natanz enrichment plant: This is Iran’s main enrichment site, and while parts of it are underground, it’s considered less deeply buried than Fordow. Israeli strikes have reportedly damaged its subterranean centrifuge halls.
    * Centrifuge workshops near Tehran.
    * Laboratories in Isfahan.
    * Arak heavy water reactor: Recent reports indicate damage to key buildings at this facility.
    In summary:
    While Israel is actively seeking to degrade Iran’s nuclear capabilities, completely destroying heavily fortified underground “fortresses” like Fordow likely requires the deployment of the US’s most advanced “bunker buster” bombs and the aircraft to deliver them. Without direct US involvement or the transfer of these specific capabilities, a full destruction of Fordow by Israel alone is considered highly improbable.

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Ali1234الباحث
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    The Iran's Sajil 2 missile, also known as Sejjil 2, is considered a significant threat due to several factors: * Advanced Capabilities: The Sajil 2 is a two-stage, solid-fueled ballistic missile. This is a significant advancement over older liquid-fueled missiles like the Shahab-3, as solid-fuel mis‫اقرأ المزيد

    The Iran’s Sajil 2 missile, also known as Sejjil 2, is considered a significant threat due to several factors:
    * Advanced Capabilities: The Sajil 2 is a two-stage, solid-fueled ballistic missile. This is a significant advancement over older liquid-fueled missiles like the Shahab-3, as solid-fuel missiles can be launched much more quickly with less preparation time, making them harder to detect and intercept before launch.
    * Range: It has an estimated range of 2,000 to 2,500 kilometers, which allows it to reach all parts of Israel and beyond.
    * Maneuverability and Speed: Reports suggest the Sajil 2 is highly maneuverable and capable of performing evasive maneuvers, including sharp angle strafes and dodges. It can reach very high speeds (Mach 11 to Mach 13 when re-entering the atmosphere, hitting the target at Mach 5), making it challenging for existing missile defense systems like Israel’s Iron Dome and Arrow systems to intercept. The term “dancing missile” likely refers to these reported evasive maneuvers, making it harder for air defenses to lock on.
    * Accuracy: The Sajil 2 is equipped with an advanced guidance package, improving its accuracy significantly. Some reports claim its accuracy can be within 10 meters, though others suggest below 50 meters. Such precision increases its destructive potential against specific targets.
    * Combat Use: Recent reports (June 2025) indicate that Iran has, for the first time, used the Sajil missile in combat conditions against Israel as part of “Operation True Promise 3,” claiming to have hit military targets, including Mossad offices, air force bases, and intelligence centers. While independent verification of the full extent of the damage is ongoing, the claims highlight its operational deployment.
    Why it “wreaked havoc” (as per the user’s phrasing):
    The phrasing “wreaked havoc” might refer to recent claims by Iranian sources and some media reports about the missile’s effectiveness in penetrating Israeli defenses and causing damage. While Israel’s sophisticated air defense systems, such as Iron Dome and Arrow, are designed to intercept such threats, the Sajil’s speed, maneuverability, and solid-fuel nature present a significant challenge. The use of “dancing” in the description implies that its flight path might be erratic or designed to evade interception, potentially contributing to its ability to “shatter” defenses as some sources suggest.
    In summary, the Sajil 2 is considered a dangerous weapon due to its rapid launch capability, long range, high speed, maneuverability, and improved accuracy. Its recent alleged combat deployment against Israel underscores its threat in the ongoing regional tensions.

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