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Ali1234Researcher

When was money invented and how did the US dollar become the world's most important currency?

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  1. Ali1234 Researcher
    Added an answer on July 21, 2025 at 3:42 am

    The story of money is a long and evolving one, moving from simple bartering to complex digital currencies. The US dollar's rise to global prominence is a more recent, but equally fascinating, chapter.   When Was Money Invented?   Money, in its various forms, didn't appear overnight, but evRead more

    The story of money is a long and evolving one, moving from simple bartering to complex digital currencies. The US dollar’s rise to global prominence is a more recent, but equally fascinating, chapter.

     

    When Was Money Invented?

     

    Money, in its various forms, didn’t appear overnight, but evolved over millennia:

    • Barter (around 6,000 BC): The earliest form of exchange was likely simple bartering – direct trade of goods and services. However, it had limitations, requiring a “double coincidence of wants” (both parties needing what the other had).
    • Commodity Money (around 3,000 BC and earlier): To overcome the limitations of barter, certain valuable and widely accepted commodities began to be used as a medium of exchange. Examples include:
      • Mesopotamian Shekel: As early as 3000 BC, the Mesopotamian shekel was a unit of weight, often referring to a specific mass of barley.
      • Cattle and Grain: These were among the earliest forms of commodity money, especially in agrarian societies.
      • Cowrie Shells: Used in various parts of the world, particularly in Africa and Asia, from as early as 1200 BC.
    • Metal Coins (7th Century BCE): The first known metal coins emerged in Lydia (modern-day Turkey) around 650-600 BC. These were made of electrum (a natural alloy of gold and silver) and were stamped to guarantee their weight and purity. Around the same time, metal “spade coins” also appeared in China. This innovation made transactions much more efficient and standardized.
    • Paper Money (11th Century CE): The first official paper money was created in China during the Song Dynasty (around 1020 AD). It evolved from promissory notes used by merchants to avoid carrying heavy bronze and copper coins, especially as trade expanded. European paper money followed much later, with the first banknotes issued in Sweden in 1661.

     

    How the US Dollar Became the World’s Most Important Currency

     

    The US dollar’s ascent to global dominance is primarily a consequence of World War II and the Bretton Woods Agreement.

    Before World War I, the British Pound Sterling was the leading global currency, backed by the vast British Empire and its industrial and financial might. However, the two World Wars significantly weakened the British economy and its gold reserves.

    Here’s how the US dollar rose to prominence:

    1. Economic Strength during World Wars:
      • The United States entered World War I later than European powers and emerged relatively unscathed. It became a major lender to Allied nations, accumulating significant gold reserves as payments.
      • World War II further solidified the US position. While much of Europe and Asia were devastated by the war, the US economy remained intact and even expanded, becoming the world’s leading industrial and creditor nation. Countries paid for American goods and war supplies with gold, leading the US to hold the majority of the world’s gold supply by the war’s end.
    2. The Bretton Woods Agreement (1944):
      • In July 1944, as World War II was nearing its end, representatives from 44 Allied nations met in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, to establish a new international monetary system. The goal was to prevent the economic instability and competitive currency devaluations that had contributed to the Great Depression and the outbreak of the war.
      • The Bretton Woods Agreement established a system of fixed exchange rates, where:
        • The US dollar was pegged to gold at a fixed rate of $35 per troy ounce of gold.
        • Other participating currencies were pegged to the US dollar, with only minor fluctuations allowed.
      • This system effectively made the US dollar the world’s primary reserve currency. Countries would hold US dollars in their reserves instead of gold, knowing they could, in theory, convert those dollars into gold at a fixed rate from the US Treasury.
      • This arrangement instilled confidence in the dollar and facilitated international trade and investment.
    3. Post-War Economic Boom and Financial Market Depth:
      • The US economy continued to grow rapidly after the war, further solidifying the dollar’s status.
      • The depth, liquidity, and openness of US financial markets, particularly the market for US Treasury bonds, made the dollar an attractive and safe asset for central banks and investors worldwide.

    The End of Bretton Woods and Continued Dollar Dominance:

    The Bretton Woods system eventually faced challenges, particularly as the US began running trade deficits and other countries accumulated large dollar reserves, raising concerns about the US’s ability to maintain gold convertibility. In 1971, President Richard Nixon unilaterally ended the dollar’s convertibility to gold (“Nixon Shock”).

    Despite the collapse of the fixed exchange rate system, the US dollar remained the world’s most important currency. Its dominance is now sustained by:

    • Size and stability of the US economy: Still the world’s largest economy.
    • Depth and liquidity of US financial markets: Provides a safe haven for global capital.
    • Use in international trade and finance: A large portion of global trade, commodity prices (like oil), and international debt are denominated in dollars.
    • Network effects: The more people and countries use the dollar, the more convenient and beneficial it is for others to use it too.

    While there are ongoing discussions about the rise of other currencies (like the Euro or Chinese Yuan) and a potential shift towards a more multi-polar currency system, the US dollar remains the undisputed global reserve currency and the most widely used in international transactions.

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Ali1234Researcher

The global currency that ruled the world for three hundred years before the US dollar

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  1. Ali1234 Researcher
    Added an answer on July 21, 2025 at 3:40 am

    The United States dollar became the dominant global reserve currency after World War II, formalized by the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1944. Before that, for a significant period, the British Pound Sterling was the world's leading currency. While the Spanish silver dollar (also known as "pieces of eiRead more

    The United States dollar became the dominant global reserve currency after World War II, formalized by the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1944. Before that, for a significant period, the British Pound Sterling was the world’s leading currency.

    While the Spanish silver dollar (also known as “pieces of eight”) was a widely recognized and used currency across the globe from the 16th to the 19th centuries, especially in trade with the Americas and Asia, the Pound Sterling became the primary reserve currency of much of the world in the 19th century and the first half of the 20th century. This was due to the UK’s industrial and economic dominance, its vast empire, and London’s role as a global financial center.

    So, for approximately 100-150 years before the US dollar, the British Pound Sterling was the reigning global currency, with the Spanish dollar having a very significant global role for about two centuries prior to that.

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Ali1234Researcher
In: Russia, Ukraine, War

How likely is it that the Russia-Ukraine conflict will turn into a world war?

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  1. Ali1234 Researcher
    Added an answer on July 21, 2025 at 3:39 am

    The likelihood of the Russia-Ukraine conflict escalating into a full-scale world war remains a significant concern, but it's generally considered to be a low-probability, high-impact event. Experts continuously analyze various factors that could lead to escalation, but also the strong deterrents agaRead more

    The likelihood of the Russia-Ukraine conflict escalating into a full-scale world war remains a significant concern, but it’s generally considered to be a low-probability, high-impact event. Experts continuously analyze various factors that could lead to escalation, but also the strong deterrents against it.

    Here’s a breakdown of the current assessment:

    Factors that could increase the risk of escalation:

    • Direct NATO-Russia Confrontation: The most immediate trigger for a wider conflict would be a direct military engagement between NATO forces and Russia. This could happen through:
      • Accidental incidents: Miscalculation, equipment malfunction, or aggressive maneuvers (e.g., in air or sea) leading to unintended casualties or damage to military assets of the opposing side.
      • Deliberate, but limited, strikes: Russia or a NATO member intentionally striking targets in the other’s territory, perhaps in retaliation for perceived provocations or attacks.
      • Misperceptions of intent: One side misinterpreting the other’s defensive or deterrent actions as offensive preparations, leading to a pre-emptive strike.
    • Expansion of War Zone: If the conflict spills significantly beyond Ukraine’s borders into a NATO member state, it would trigger Article 5 of the NATO treaty, obligating all members to come to the defense of the attacked nation.
    • Use of Non-Conventional Weapons: While highly unlikely and widely condemned, the use of chemical, biological, or tactical nuclear weapons by Russia would dramatically raise the stakes and could provoke a severe international response.
    • Internal Instability in Russia: Significant internal upheaval in Russia could lead to unpredictable decisions from the leadership, potentially escalating external conflicts to consolidate power or distract from domestic issues.
    • Loss of Control or Strategic Miscalculation: As the war drags on, fatigue, frustration, or desperation could lead to decisions that increase the risk of unintended escalation.
    • Ukrainian Cross-border Offensives: While Ukraine has conducted some cross-border operations, a significant, sustained incursion into Russian territory could be seen as a major escalation by Moscow.
    • Decreased Western Aid to Ukraine: If Western support significantly dwindles, Russia might be emboldened to press its advantage more aggressively, potentially leading to more desperate measures by Ukraine.

    Factors that mitigate the risk of a world war:

    • Mutual Deterrence (Nuclear Weapons): The existence of nuclear arsenals held by both Russia and NATO members acts as the ultimate deterrent. Neither side wants to risk a nuclear exchange, which would have catastrophic consequences for all involved.
    • Avoidance of Direct Conflict by NATO: NATO countries have consistently stated they will not put “boots on the ground” in Ukraine to avoid a direct military confrontation with Russia. While they provide significant military and financial aid, they are careful to maintain this distinction.
    • Maintaining Communication Channels: Despite high tensions, some diplomatic and military communication channels between Russia and the West remain open to prevent miscalculation and manage potential crises.
    • Focus on De-escalation by Major Powers: While supporting Ukraine, major global powers are also working to prevent a wider conflict, emphasizing de-escalation and diplomatic solutions where possible.
    • Economic Consequences: A world war would have devastating global economic consequences, which acts as a strong disincentive for all parties.
    • Russia’s Limited Capabilities: While Russia possesses significant military power, its performance in Ukraine has revealed limitations. A direct war with NATO would be a far greater challenge, and Russia’s leadership is likely aware of the immense costs.

    Current Expert Assessment:

    Many analysts believe that a direct, deliberate escalation into a world war is unlikely due to the overwhelming deterrent of nuclear weapons and the clear desire by most major powers to avoid such a scenario. However, the risk of inadvertent escalation due to miscalculation, an accident, or a tit-for-tat escalation spiral remains a serious concern. The conflict’s ongoing nature means that vigilance and careful diplomatic and military communication are crucial to prevent it from spiraling out of control.

    Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has repeatedly warned that the conflict could escalate into a world war if Kyiv and its partners do not stand firm, highlighting the global implications of Russia’s actions. However, the international community’s response has largely focused on supporting Ukraine while carefully avoiding direct military engagement that could trigger a wider war.

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Ali1234Researcher
In: Crypto Coin

Can alternative sources of Russian gas be found?

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Ali1234Researcher
In: Crypto Coin, Europe

What would happen if Russian gas stopped flowing to Western Europe?

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  1. Ali1234 Researcher
    Added an answer on July 21, 2025 at 1:46 am

    If Russian gas were to completely stop flowing to Western Europe, the consequences would be significant, though less catastrophic than they might have been a few years ago. Europe has made substantial progress in reducing its reliance on Russian gas since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Here's a breakRead more

    If Russian gas were to completely stop flowing to Western Europe, the consequences would be significant, though less catastrophic than they might have been a few years ago. Europe has made substantial progress in reducing its reliance on Russian gas since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

    Here’s a breakdown of what would likely happen:

    1. Short-Term Impacts (Immediate to a few months):

    • Further Price Spikes and Volatility: Even though Russian gas imports have drastically fallen, a complete halt would still remove a portion of supply, leading to an immediate surge in natural gas prices across Europe. This volatility would make energy planning for businesses and households extremely difficult.
    • Increased Competition for LNG: European countries would intensify their efforts to secure Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) from global markets (e.g., US, Qatar, Norway). This would further tighten the global LNG market and likely drive up global prices, affecting other importing regions as well.
    • Gas Rationing Risks (especially for industry): While households and essential services are typically protected, energy-intensive industries (like chemicals, fertilizers, steel, glass, ceramics) would face the highest risk of gas rationing. This could lead to production cuts, factory closures, and job losses in affected sectors.
    • Economic Slowdown/Recessionary Pressure: Higher energy costs would act as a drag on economic growth, increasing inflation and potentially pushing some European economies into recession or exacerbating existing slowdowns.
    • Strain on Energy Infrastructure: While Europe has built new LNG import terminals and strengthened interconnectors, a sudden complete cutoff could still strain the existing infrastructure, leading to bottlenecks in gas distribution.
    • Increased Reliance on Alternative Fuels: Some power plants might switch to coal or oil where feasible, increasing carbon emissions in the short term.
    • Regional Disparities: Countries that still have a higher reliance on Russian pipeline gas (e.g., some Central and Eastern European nations like Slovakia, Austria, and Hungary) would face more severe challenges and higher energy bills compared to those with diversified supplies and extensive LNG import capacity.

    2. Mid-to-Long-Term Impacts (Several months to a few years):

    • Accelerated Diversification: Europe would double down on its efforts to diversify gas supplies. This means more LNG import terminals, new pipeline connections (e.g., from Norway, Azerbaijan), and strengthening existing infrastructure.
    • Faster Renewable Energy Deployment: The imperative for energy security would further accelerate investments in renewable energy sources (solar, wind, geothermal). This would also involve significant investments in electricity grid upgrades and energy storage solutions.
    • Energy Efficiency Measures: Governments and industries would be even more incentivized to implement energy efficiency measures and reduce overall gas consumption through behavioral changes and technological upgrades.
    • Structural Economic Shifts: Industries that rely heavily on natural gas might face long-term challenges, potentially leading to some relocation of production or adoption of new, less gas-intensive processes.
    • Geopolitical Realignments: The complete severing of gas ties would further diminish Russia’s energy leverage over Europe, solidifying a new geopolitical energy landscape where Europe seeks partners in more stable and democratic regions.
    • Impact on Ukraine (Transit Fees): If the remaining gas transit through Ukraine were to cease, Ukraine would lose significant transit fees, impacting its budget, though it has already prepared for this possibility.
    • Russia’s Financial Strain: A complete cutoff would represent a further major financial blow to Russia, significantly reducing its revenues from gas exports, which are less easily rerouted than oil due to pipeline infrastructure limitations. Russia would continue its pivot towards Asian markets, but building new large-scale pipeline infrastructure to Asia takes many years.

    What has already happened and mitigates the impact:

    • Significant Reduction in Russian Gas Imports: Since 2022, Europe has drastically cut its reliance on Russian pipeline gas. Russian gas imports to the EU have fallen from over 40% of total gas imports before the war to around 10-15% currently.
    • Increased LNG Imports: Europe has ramped up LNG imports, particularly from the US and Qatar, and invested in new regasification terminals.
    • Record Gas Storage Levels: European countries have prioritized filling their gas storage facilities to high levels, providing a crucial buffer against supply disruptions.
    • Demand Reduction: High prices and conservation efforts have led to a notable reduction in overall gas demand across Europe.

    In conclusion, while a complete halt of Russian gas flow would still cause immediate disruption and economic pain, particularly for certain industries and more dependent countries, Europe is far better prepared to manage such a scenario than it was a few years ago. The long-term trend points towards further diversification, accelerated renewable energy deployment, and a permanent reduction in reliance on Russian fossil fuels.

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Ali1234Researcher
In: oil, Russia

How much oil does Russia export?

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  1. Ali1234 Researcher
    Added an answer on July 21, 2025 at 1:45 am

    Russia is a major global oil exporter, but the exact figures for its exports fluctuate due to various factors, including sanctions, market demand, and production levels. Based on recent reports (as of June/July 2025): Crude Oil Exports: Russia exports approximately 4.5-5.0 million barrels per day (mRead more

    Russia is a major global oil exporter, but the exact figures for its exports fluctuate due to various factors, including sanctions, market demand, and production levels.

    Based on recent reports (as of June/July 2025):

    • Crude Oil Exports: Russia exports approximately 4.5-5.0 million barrels per day (mbd) of crude oil. This constitutes about 5% of global consumption.
    • Processed Petroleum Products: Additionally, Russia supplies roughly 2 million barrels per day (mbd) of processed petroleum products (like diesel, fuel oil, etc.) to international markets.
    • Total Oil Exports: Combining crude and refined products, Russia’s total oil exports are generally in the range of 6.5-7.0 million barrels per day.

    Key trends and destinations:

    • Shift to Asia: Due to sanctions from Western countries, Russia has significantly reoriented its oil exports towards Asian markets, particularly China and India.
      • China has purchased around 47% of Russia’s crude exports.
      • India has purchased about 38% of Russia’s crude exports.
    • Reduced Exports to EU: The EU’s import bans on seaborne Russian oil have drastically reduced direct exports to Europe, though some pipeline oil still flows to certain EU countries under exemptions. The EU’s share of Russian crude exports is currently around 6%.
    • “Shadow Fleet”: A significant portion of Russian oil is transported by a “shadow fleet” of tankers operating outside of Western sanctions regimes to circumvent price caps and other restrictions. However, recent EU sanctions are increasingly targeting these vessels.
    • Dynamic Market: Export volumes and revenues are subject to change based on global oil prices, the effectiveness of sanctions, and Russia’s ability to maintain production and find new buyers.

    It’s important to note that these figures are estimates and can vary depending on the source and the reporting period. The situation is constantly evolving due to geopolitical factors and the ongoing impact of sanction

     
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Ali1234Researcher
In: Crypto Coin, oil, Sanctions

What sanctions have been imposed on Russian oil and gas?

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  1. Ali1234 Researcher
    Added an answer on July 21, 2025 at 1:43 am

    In response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, a comprehensive set of sanctions has been imposed on Russian oil and gas by various international actors, primarily the European Union (EU), G7 nations, and Australia. These sanctions aim to significantly reduce Russia's revenue from energy exports, whichRead more

    In response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, a comprehensive set of sanctions has been imposed on Russian oil and gas by various international actors, primarily the European Union (EU), G7 nations, and Australia. These sanctions aim to significantly reduce Russia’s revenue from energy exports, which fund its war efforts.

    Here’s a breakdown of the key sanctions:

    1. Oil Price Cap:

    • G7 and EU Initiative: The G7 nations, in coordination with the EU and Australia, established a price cap on seaborne Russian crude oil. Initially set at $60 per barrel in December 2022, the EU recently lowered it to $47.60 per barrel as part of its 18th sanctions package (effective September 3, 2025).
    • Mechanism: This cap prevents EU and G7 operators from providing services (such as shipping, insurance, and financing) for the maritime transport of Russian crude oil and refined petroleum products if they are sold above the specified price cap.
    • Dynamic Review: The EU’s latest package also introduced a dynamic review mechanism for the oil price cap, ensuring it remains at a certain percentage (e.g., 15%) below the average market price of Urals crude over a six-month period. This aims to ensure predictability for operators while maintaining downward pressure on Russian revenues.
    • Refined Products: Separate price caps are in place for refined oil products: $100 per barrel for high-value products (like diesel and petrol) and $45 per barrel for low-value products (like fuel oil). These remain unaffected by the recent crude oil price cap adjustment.

    2. Import Bans and Embargoes:

    • EU Seaborne Oil Ban: The EU has prohibited the import of seaborne crude oil and refined petroleum products from Russia. This largely came into effect in December 2022.
    • Coal Ban: The EU has an import ban on all forms of Russian coal.
    • LNG Restrictions:
      • A ban on future investments in, and exports to, liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects under construction in Russia.
      • A ban on the use of EU ports for the transshipment of Russian LNG.
      • A ban on the import of Russian LNG into specific terminals not connected to the EU gas pipeline network.
      • Prohibiting Russian nationals or entities from booking gas storage capacity in EU Member States.
    • Pipeline Oil (Limited Exceptions): While the seaborne ban is extensive, some exceptions for pipeline oil initially existed for certain EU countries heavily reliant on Russian supply. However, Germany and Poland have ended the possibility to import Russian oil by pipeline.
    • Refined Products from Third Countries: A significant new measure in the EU’s latest package is a ban on the import of refined petroleum products made from Russian crude oil and coming from any third country (with exceptions for Canada, Norway, Switzerland, the UK, and the US). This targets countries like India and Turkey that have been refining Russian crude and exporting it to the EU.

    3. Targeting the “Shadow Fleet”:

    • Vessel Sanctions: The EU, G7, and the US have directly sanctioned numerous oil-carrying vessels suspected of involvement in violating the price cap or hiding the origin of Russian oil.
    • Monitoring and Enforcement: Measures have been introduced to monitor the sale of tankers to third countries and pressure flag countries to better check for price cap breaches. The EU has blacklisted over 400 vessels in Russia’s “shadow fleet.”
    • Port Access Prohibition: The EU prohibits access to European ports for vessels suspected of having been involved in transshipment of Russian oil at a price higher than the price cap or having turned off their Automatic Identification System (AIS) trackers.

    4. Technology and Services Bans:

    • Refining Technologies: A ban on exports of specific refining technologies to Russia, making it harder and more costly for Russia to upgrade its oil refineries.
    • Oil and Gas Exploration Software: A ban on the export, supply, or provision of oil and gas exploration software to Russia.
    • U.S. Petroleum Services: The U.S. has prohibited the provision of U.S. petroleum services to persons located in Russia, aiming to cut off Russia’s access to U.S. services related to the extraction and production of crude oil and other petroleum products.

    5. Financial and Business Measures:

    • Investment Ban: A far-reaching ban on new EU investments across the Russian energy sector, with limited exceptions for civil nuclear energy and the transport of certain energy products back to the EU.
    • Banking Restrictions: Sanctions on Russia’s banking sector to limit Moscow’s ability to raise capital and carry out international transactions.
    • Nord Stream Pipelines: A ban on future transactions via both Nord Stream pipelines, which are currently non-operational.

    Impact: These sanctions have had a significant impact on Russia’s energy revenues, forcing Russia to seek new markets, often selling oil at discounted prices. They have also led to the growth of a “shadow fleet” and complex supply chains to circumvent restrictions. While challenging to enforce completely, the sanctions aim to continue squeezing Russia’s financial resources for the war.

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Ali1234Researcher
In: Countries, Crypto Coin, oil, Russia, Ukraine

Ukraine, Russia conflict: How dependent are countries around the world on Russian oil and gas?

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  1. Ali1234 Researcher
    Added an answer on July 21, 2025 at 1:42 am

    Before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russia was a global energy powerhouse, supplying a significant portion of the world's oil, natural gas, and coal. Its role as an energy exporter gave it considerable leverage, particularly over Europe. Here's a breakdown of global dependencRead more

    Before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russia was a global energy powerhouse, supplying a significant portion of the world’s oil, natural gas, and coal. Its role as an energy exporter gave it considerable leverage, particularly over Europe.

    Here’s a breakdown of global dependence on Russian oil and gas, and how it has changed:

    Oil Dependence:

    • Before the War: Russia was the world’s second-largest exporter of crude oil after Saudi Arabia. Europe was its primary customer. In 2021, the EU imported about 4.5 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil from Russia, accounting for roughly 34% of its total oil imports. Some individual European countries had even higher dependencies.
    • Post-Invasion & Sanctions (Current as of July 2025): Western sanctions, including the G7 price cap on Russian oil, have dramatically reshaped global oil flows.
      • Europe: The EU has significantly reduced its direct imports of Russian oil. By the end of 2022, official EU imports of Russian oil had fallen by about 90%. However, some Russian oil still reaches Europe via “third countries” after being refined (a “refining loophole”) or through illicit imports. Hungary, for example, remains a significant importer of Russian fossil fuels in the EU.
      • Asia (New Major Buyers): Russia has successfully redirected much of its oil exports to Asian markets, selling at discounted prices.
        • China: Has become Russia’s largest buyer of crude oil, purchasing around 47% of Russia’s crude exports as of June 2025.
        • India: Has emerged as the second-largest purchaser, buying approximately 38% of Russia’s crude exports. Its imports from Russia have skyrocketed since the invasion, now making up over 35% of India’s total oil imports.
        • Turkey: Also increased its imports of Russian oil.
      • Other Regions: Brazil has also increased its imports of Russian oil products. Some Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and the UAE have also increased imports of cheaper Russian fuel oil for domestic power generation or re-export as bunker fuel, freeing up their own crude for more lucrative markets.

    Natural Gas Dependence:

    • Before the War: Europe was overwhelmingly dependent on Russian natural gas, primarily delivered via an extensive network of pipelines. Russia supplied roughly 40% of all imported gas to the EU in 2021, reaching about 142 billion cubic meters (bcm). For some individual countries like Germany, Austria, and Latvia, the reliance was much higher, in some cases exceeding 50% or even 80%.
    • Post-Invasion & Sanctions (Current as of July 2025): This is where the most dramatic shift has occurred, particularly for Europe. Russia significantly cut gas flows to Europe, and the Nord Stream pipelines were sabotaged.
      • Europe: Europe has drastically reduced its direct pipeline gas imports from Russia. The volume fell from 142 bcm in the year before the invasion to just 31 bcm in 2024, and potentially as low as 16-18 bcm in 2025. The transit contract via Ukraine also expired at the end of 2024 and was not renewed, further limiting pipeline routes. The only remaining major pipeline bringing Russian gas to the EU is TurkStream, which primarily supplies countries in Southeast Europe.
      • Replacement Strategies: Europe has rapidly diversified its gas sources by:
        • Increasing imports of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), primarily from the US, Qatar, and other producers.
        • Boosting pipeline gas imports from Norway, Azerbaijan, and Algeria.
        • Implementing significant energy conservation measures and accelerating the deployment of renewable energy.
      • Remaining Dependent EU States: While overall EU dependence is down, a few countries, notably Hungary and Slovakia, still maintain significant reliance on Russian gas due to historical infrastructure and specific agreements.
      • China: Russia is actively pursuing new pipeline projects (e.g., Power of Siberia 2) to increase gas exports to China, aiming to offset lost European demand.

    Overall Impact:

    • The Ukraine conflict has forced a major recalibration of global energy markets.
    • Europe has significantly reduced its reliance on Russian fossil fuels, particularly gas, at a considerable economic cost and through massive efforts in diversification and renewables.
    • Asian countries, especially China and India, have stepped in to become the primary buyers of discounted Russian oil, allowing Russia to largely maintain its export volumes despite Western sanctions.
    • The global energy map is becoming more multipolar, with new trade routes and supplier-buyer relationships emerging.
    • However, for many countries, fully divorcing from Russian energy remains a complex and ongoing challenge, highlighting the deep interdependencies that existed before the conflict.
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Ali1234Researcher
In: Sanctions

What are the effects of financial sanctions?

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Ali1234Researcher
In: India, oil

Where does India buy oil from?

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  1. Ali1234 Researcher
    Added an answer on July 21, 2025 at 1:40 am

    India, being the world's third-largest oil consumer and heavily reliant on imports (over 85% of its crude oil needs), diversifies its sources to ensure energy security and get the best prices. While the specific proportions can fluctuate monthly due to market dynamics, geopolitical events, and priciRead more

    India, being the world’s third-largest oil consumer and heavily reliant on imports (over 85% of its crude oil needs), diversifies its sources to ensure energy security and get the best prices.

    While the specific proportions can fluctuate monthly due to market dynamics, geopolitical events, and pricing, India’s main oil suppliers generally include:

    1. Russia: Since the Ukraine crisis, Russia has emerged as India’s single largest crude oil supplier, offering significant discounts. Its share has jumped dramatically from less than 2% before the conflict to often over 35% of India’s total imports.
    2. Iraq: Historically, Iraq has been one of India’s top suppliers for many years, providing a steady flow of crude.
    3. Saudi Arabia: Another traditional major supplier from the Middle East, Saudi Arabia remains a significant source for India, although its share can fluctuate based on pricing and OPEC+ decisions.
    4. United Arab Emirates (UAE): The UAE is also a consistent and important crude oil supplier to India, providing a variety of grades.
    5. United States: The US has become an increasingly important supplier to India in recent years as India diversifies away from its traditional Middle Eastern sources and seeks various crude grades.

    Beyond these top players, India also imports oil from a range of other countries to further diversify its supply, including:

    • Nigeria
    • Brazil
    • Canada
    • Kuwait
    • Angola
    • And others as market conditions and pricing opportunities arise.

    India’s strategy is to avoid over-reliance on any single region or country, ensuring it has options if one supply source is disrupted or becomes uneconomical.

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