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Ali1234
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Ali1234Researcher
In: oil, Pakistan

Buying Russian oil, anger over not giving Pakistan ceasefire credit or refusing to accept trade demands: What does Trump want from Modi?

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Buying Russian oil, anger over not giving Pakistan ceasefire credit or refusing to accept trade demands: What does Trump want from Modi?
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    1. Ali1234 Researcher
      2025-08-05T23:19:34-07:00Added an answer on August 5, 2025 at 11:19 pm

      Hereโ€™s what President Trump appears to be pressing Prime Minister Modi forโ€”across three flashpoints: ๐Ÿ”ฅ 1. Pressure to stop buying Russian oil or face punitive tariffs Trump has explicitly demanded that India cease its imports of discounted Russian crude, which now constitutes about oneโ€‘third of IndiRead more

      Hereโ€™s what President Trump appears to be pressing Prime Minister Modi forโ€”across three flashpoints:


      ๐Ÿ”ฅ 1. Pressure to stop buying Russian oil or face punitive tariffs

      Trump has explicitly demanded that India cease its imports of discounted Russian crude, which now constitutes about oneโ€‘third of Indiaโ€™s oil supply. He has threatened a 25% tariff on Indian goods, along with unspecified further penalties if India continues this trade. He accuses India of indirectly supporting Russiaโ€™s war in Ukraine and of profiting from reselling Russian oil, claiming this undermines Western sanctions (The Guardian, Financial Times).

      India has rejected the pressure, pointing out what it calls hypocrisy from the U.S. and EU, which also continue Russian energy imports, and stressing its energy choices reflect strategic autonomy and necessity for economic stability (India Today).


      ๐Ÿค 2. Recognition for purported role in the Indiaโ€“Pakistan ceasefire

      Trump has repeatedly claimed he brokered or influenced the May 2025 ceasefire between India and Pakistan through trade diplomacyโ€”saying, โ€œI stopped the war โ€ฆ I said trade or notโ€ (The Indian Express).

      However, Prime Minister Modi firmly denies any such mediation. According to New Delhi, no talks on trade or thirdโ€‘party mediation took place during the conflict. Modi stressed that any ceasefire emerged from direct military communication between India and Pakistan and not U.S. involvement (South China Morning Post).


      ๐Ÿ“ฆ 3. Trade concessions from India in exchange for resolution or recognition

      Trump appears to be linking broader Indiaโ€“U.S. trade negotiations with the Indiaโ€“Pakistan conflict. Analysts suggest heโ€™s attempting to extract symbolic or substantive concessions from Indiaโ€”such as market access for U.S. agricultural and pharmaceutical goodsโ€”by leveraging his claims of ceasefire mediation as political capital (The Wall Street Journal).

      He also signals support for Pakistani energy and trade deals, raising concerns in India over a potential U.S. tilt toward Islamabad (AP News, Wikipedia, washingtonpost.com).


      ๐Ÿงญ Bottom line: What Trump wants from Modi

      Issue Trumpโ€™s Position Objective
      Russian oil imports Stop or face tariffs To penalize Indiaโ€™s energy ties with Russia and enforce sanctions
      Indiaโ€“Pakistan ceasefire Acknowledgement of U.S. mediation credit To cement diplomatic credentials and leverage trade talks
      Trade deal concessions Offers of public recognition and goodwill To secure greater U.S. access to Indian markets (e.g. agriculture, pharma)

      โš ๏ธ Implications for India

      • Modi is resisting both U.S. coercion on Russian energy and the notion that trade was ever linked to conflict resolution.
      • India is balancing political optics: preserving strategic autonomy and domestic credibility while managing growing trade and diplomatic friction with the U.S.
      • This dispute has strained long-standing ties, potentially reshaping Indoโ€‘U.S. alignment, especially given Trumpโ€™s overtures to Pakistan (AP News, India Today, Wikipedia, Wikipedia, Dawn, South China Morning Post, Financial Times).

      Let me know if youโ€™d like deeper insight into how Modiโ€™s administration is responding or how these developments might affect regional strategic dynamics.

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    2. Ali1234 Researcher
      2025-08-05T23:21:11-07:00Added an answer on August 5, 2025 at 11:21 pm

      Kugelman believes Trump's anger stems from Modi's refusal to give credit for the recent ceasefire between India and Pakistan and his strong stance during a tense phone call.

      Kugelman believes Trump's anger stems from Modi's refusal to give credit for the recent ceasefire between India and Pakistan and his strong stance during a tense phone call.
       
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