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Ali1234Researcher
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  1. Ali1234 Researcher

    The concept of a "winner" in a brief, intense conflict like the 12-day war between Israel, the US, and Iran is complex, as all parties tend to claim victory for different reasons, and the long-term consequences are still unfolding. However, we can analyze the stated gains and losses for each: IsraelRead more

    The concept of a “winner” in a brief, intense conflict like the 12-day war between Israel, the US, and Iran is complex, as all parties tend to claim victory for different reasons, and the long-term consequences are still unfolding. However, we can analyze the stated gains and losses for each:
    Israel’s Perspective:
    * Key Gain: The primary stated objective for Israel was to set back Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs. Reports suggest significant damage to Iranian nuclear facilities and ballistic missile capabilities, with Israel claiming to have destroyed a large percentage of Iran’s long-range missile stock and achieved air superiority. The US directly joining the war and attacking Iran was also a long-standing goal for Israel.
    * Shift in Focus: The conflict may have temporarily shifted international attention away from Israel’s ongoing actions in the Gaza Strip.
    * Military Performance: Israel showcased its advanced air defense systems (Iron Dome, Arrow 2/3, David’s Sling), which reportedly intercepted a high percentage of incoming missiles, and demonstrated its air force’s ability to conduct extensive strikes deep into enemy territory without losing aircraft or pilots.
    * Losses/Challenges: While damage to Israeli infrastructure was limited due to its defense systems, some missiles did strike targets like an oil refinery and electrical facilities. The long-term impact on regional stability and the potential for future retaliation remains a concern.
    US’s Perspective:
    * Intervention and De-escalation: The US intervened by striking Iranian nuclear sites, aiming to curb Iran’s nuclear ambitions. President Trump then played a role in brokering the ceasefire, positioning the US as a “peacemaker.”
    * Show of Force: The US demonstrated its willingness to directly engage in the conflict to support its allies and address perceived threats from Iran.
    * Potential Gains for Iran: Ironically, the US attack on Al Udeid air base (following an early warning from Tehran that prevented US casualties) allowed Iran to showcase its military strength without suffering significant losses to its personnel.
    * Future Challenges: The conflict highlighted the fragility of regional peace and the potential for wider escalation. The US now faces the challenge of potentially bringing the US-Iran nuclear deal back to the table.
    Iran’s Perspective:
    * Retaliation and Show of Strength: Despite suffering damage to its nuclear sites and the assassination of nuclear scientists, Iran claims victory in punishing the “Zionist regime” by launching missile attacks against Israeli territory. It demonstrated its capability to strike back against powerful military forces.
    * Survival: Iran can claim it survived direct attacks from two major military powers and managed to retaliate, indicating its resilience.
    * Losses: The war inflicted significant damage on Iran’s nuclear program and military infrastructure, including ballistic missile factories and storage facilities. The assassination of a top military commander also represents a significant loss.
    * Long-term Implications: Iran’s nuclear program has been set back, and it may face increased international pressure regarding its nuclear activities and regional proxies.
    Overall Assessment:
    While all sides have claimed victory, the reality is more nuanced.
    * Israel arguably achieved significant military objectives in degrading Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities and securing direct US involvement.
    * The US demonstrated its resolve and then successfully brokered a ceasefire, but the underlying tensions in the region remain.
    * Iran sustained damage but also showed its capacity for retaliation and its determination to resist.
    The ceasefire is widely considered fragile. The conflict has heightened instability in the Middle East, disrupted trade routes (like the Strait of Hormuz), and impacted global oil prices, highlighting the interconnectedness of regional conflicts and global stability. The long-term winner will depend on how the geopolitical landscape evolves, particularly regarding nuclear negotiations and regional power dynamics.

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Ali1234Researcher
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  1. Ali1234 Researcher

    According to recent reports, Israel targeted and killed at least 14 Iranian nuclear scientists before the recent ceasefire. Nine of these scientists were killed in Israel's initial wave of attacks on June 13th. An additional scientist, Mohammad Reza Sedighi Saber, was reported killed in an Israeli sRead more

    According to recent reports, Israel targeted and killed at least 14 Iranian nuclear scientists before the recent ceasefire.
    Nine of these scientists were killed in Israel’s initial wave of attacks on June 13th. An additional scientist, Mohammad Reza Sedighi Saber, was reported killed in an Israeli strike on June 24th, shortly before the ceasefire took effect.
    These targeted killings were described by Israeli officials as an “unprecedented attack on the brains behind Iran’s nuclear program.”

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Ali1234Researcher
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  1. Ali1234 Researcher

    While Israel has expressed its intent to disrupt Iran's nuclear program, the complete destruction of Iran's most heavily fortified underground nuclear facilities, particularly the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, is widely believed to be beyond Israel's current independent capabilities. Here's why: * FRead more

    While Israel has expressed its intent to disrupt Iran’s nuclear program, the complete destruction of Iran’s most heavily fortified underground nuclear facilities, particularly the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, is widely believed to be beyond Israel’s current independent capabilities.
    Here’s why:
    * Fordow’s Depth and Hardening: The Fordow facility is buried deep within a mountain, reportedly 80-90 meters (260-300 feet) underground, and is heavily reinforced. This makes it extremely difficult to penetrate with conventional weaponry.
    * “Bunker Buster” Limitations: While Israel possesses some “bunker buster” bombs (like the GBU-28 and BLU-109), these have a shallower penetration range and are not considered powerful enough to reach Fordow’s deepest sections.
    * US-Exclusive Capability: The only weapon widely believed to be capable of destroying Fordow is the GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP), a 30,000-pound (13,600kg) precision-guided bomb. The United States is the only country that possesses the GBU-57, and it can only be delivered by a US B-2 stealth bomber.
    * Need for Multiple Strikes: Even with the MOP, experts suggest that multiple sequential strikes would likely be needed to achieve full destruction of such a deeply buried and hardened facility.
    What Israel can and has targeted:
    Israel has reportedly focused its strikes on other Iranian nuclear and military sites, including:
    * Natanz enrichment plant: This is Iran’s main enrichment site, and while parts of it are underground, it’s considered less deeply buried than Fordow. Israeli strikes have reportedly damaged its subterranean centrifuge halls.
    * Centrifuge workshops near Tehran.
    * Laboratories in Isfahan.
    * Arak heavy water reactor: Recent reports indicate damage to key buildings at this facility.
    In summary:
    While Israel is actively seeking to degrade Iran’s nuclear capabilities, completely destroying heavily fortified underground “fortresses” like Fordow likely requires the deployment of the US’s most advanced “bunker buster” bombs and the aircraft to deliver them. Without direct US involvement or the transfer of these specific capabilities, a full destruction of Fordow by Israel alone is considered highly improbable.

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Ali1234Researcher
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    In the Iranian attack on Israel in April 2024, Israel suffered relatively minor damage and casualties, largely due to successful interceptions by its air defense systems, assisted by a coalition including the US, UK, France, and Jordan. Here's a summary of the damage and casualties reported: Damage:Read more

    In the Iranian attack on Israel in April 2024, Israel suffered relatively minor damage and casualties, largely due to successful interceptions by its air defense systems, assisted by a coalition including the US, UK, France, and Jordan.
    Here’s a summary of the damage and casualties reported:
    Damage:
    * Airbases: The Nevatim and Ramon Airbases in southern Israel sustained minor damage. While some Iranian missiles did strike these bases, they remained operational.
    * Other Infrastructure: A US official stated that at least nine Iranian missiles struck two Israeli airbases, causing minor damage. There were also reports of some shrapnel falling in Jordan.
    * More recent reports (from June 2025, which might refer to ongoing or subsequent attacks) indicate more significant damage, including:
    * Iranian missiles hitting a major hospital in southern Israel and striking residential buildings in Tel Aviv.
    * Damage to a central rail station and the Microsoft office in the Gav-Yam Negev advanced technologies park.
    * An oil refinery in Haifa was hit, causing fires and damage.
    Casualties:
    * April 2024 Attack:
    * One 7-year-old Israeli Bedouin girl was critically injured by shrapnel.
    * Thirty-one other people suffered minor injuries while rushing to shelters or were treated for anxiety.
    * More Recent Reports (June 2025 – potentially including subsequent attacks):
    * Casualties have been significantly higher, with at least 24 people killed in Israel and over 200 wounded.
    * Specific incidents mentioned include deaths in an apartment building in the Galilee region, and an 80-year-old woman, a 69-year-old woman, and a 10-year-old boy killed in central Israel.
    * Five people were lightly injured in Beersheba after a direct missile hit, and 30 were treated for panic.
    It’s important to note that initial assessments from April 2024 emphasized the limited damage due to high interception rates. However, more recent reports from June 2025 suggest an escalation in the conflict with increased Iranian missile attacks that have caused more significant damage and casualties, including in civilian areas.

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Ali1234Researcher
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    The Iran's Sajil 2 missile, also known as Sejjil 2, is considered a significant threat due to several factors: * Advanced Capabilities: The Sajil 2 is a two-stage, solid-fueled ballistic missile. This is a significant advancement over older liquid-fueled missiles like the Shahab-3, as solid-fuel misRead more

    The Iran’s Sajil 2 missile, also known as Sejjil 2, is considered a significant threat due to several factors:
    * Advanced Capabilities: The Sajil 2 is a two-stage, solid-fueled ballistic missile. This is a significant advancement over older liquid-fueled missiles like the Shahab-3, as solid-fuel missiles can be launched much more quickly with less preparation time, making them harder to detect and intercept before launch.
    * Range: It has an estimated range of 2,000 to 2,500 kilometers, which allows it to reach all parts of Israel and beyond.
    * Maneuverability and Speed: Reports suggest the Sajil 2 is highly maneuverable and capable of performing evasive maneuvers, including sharp angle strafes and dodges. It can reach very high speeds (Mach 11 to Mach 13 when re-entering the atmosphere, hitting the target at Mach 5), making it challenging for existing missile defense systems like Israel’s Iron Dome and Arrow systems to intercept. The term “dancing missile” likely refers to these reported evasive maneuvers, making it harder for air defenses to lock on.
    * Accuracy: The Sajil 2 is equipped with an advanced guidance package, improving its accuracy significantly. Some reports claim its accuracy can be within 10 meters, though others suggest below 50 meters. Such precision increases its destructive potential against specific targets.
    * Combat Use: Recent reports (June 2025) indicate that Iran has, for the first time, used the Sajil missile in combat conditions against Israel as part of “Operation True Promise 3,” claiming to have hit military targets, including Mossad offices, air force bases, and intelligence centers. While independent verification of the full extent of the damage is ongoing, the claims highlight its operational deployment.
    Why it “wreaked havoc” (as per the user’s phrasing):
    The phrasing “wreaked havoc” might refer to recent claims by Iranian sources and some media reports about the missile’s effectiveness in penetrating Israeli defenses and causing damage. While Israel’s sophisticated air defense systems, such as Iron Dome and Arrow, are designed to intercept such threats, the Sajil’s speed, maneuverability, and solid-fuel nature present a significant challenge. The use of “dancing” in the description implies that its flight path might be erratic or designed to evade interception, potentially contributing to its ability to “shatter” defenses as some sources suggest.
    In summary, the Sajil 2 is considered a dangerous weapon due to its rapid launch capability, long range, high speed, maneuverability, and improved accuracy. Its recent alleged combat deployment against Israel underscores its threat in the ongoing regional tensions.

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Ali1234Researcher
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  1. Ali1234 Researcher

    It's difficult to provide an exact figure for how many millions of dollars Israel is currently spending to stop Iranian missile attacks, as these costs are ongoing and fluctuate based on the intensity of attacks and defensive operations. However, here's what we know about the costs involved: * HighRead more

    It’s difficult to provide an exact figure for how many millions of dollars Israel is currently spending to stop Iranian missile attacks, as these costs are ongoing and fluctuate based on the intensity of attacks and defensive operations. However, here’s what we know about the costs involved:
    * High Cost of Interceptors: Israel’s multi-layered air defense system (Iron Dome, David’s Sling, Arrow) relies on expensive interceptor missiles.
    * Iron Dome: Each interceptor missile costs approximately $50,000.
    * David’s Sling and Arrow: These systems, designed for medium and long-range missiles, have interceptors that can cost over $2 million each, with some estimates for Arrow interceptors going up to $3.5 million.
    * Significant Costs for Barrages: When Iran launches large barrages of missiles and drones, the defensive costs can be substantial. For example, some reports indicate that Israel spent over $1 billion in a single night to defend against a major Iranian attack in April 2024. Other estimates for specific Iranian attacks put Israel’s defense costs in the range of $360 million to $630 million.
    * Ongoing Development and Maintenance: Beyond intercepting attacks, Israel also spends billions of dollars annually on developing, maintaining, and upgrading its sophisticated air defense systems. The US has also invested significantly, providing billions in funding for these projects.
    * Economic Disparity: A key aspect of this “economic warfare” is that the interceptor missiles used by Israel are significantly more expensive than the drones and missiles often launched by Iran or its proxies. This creates a financial strain on Israel, as they must expend high-cost munitions to counter relatively cheaper threats.
    While a precise daily or weekly cost is not publicly available, it’s clear that defending against Iranian missile attacks requires a multi-million, and often multi-billion, dollar investment from Israel, with substantial support from the United States.

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